Chinese stocks crushed as 'bulls kill bulls' in exit stampede

By Reuters/John Ruwitch, Samuel Shen   February 9, 2018 | 12:53 am PT
Chinese stocks crushed as 'bulls kill bulls' in exit stampede
Photo by Reuters
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index had its biggest single-day dive in two years.

Chinese stocks suffered their worst day in almost two years on Friday, with blue-chip led carnage dragging the markets into correction territory after steep falls overnight in U.S. stocks.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 4.0 percent and the blue-chip CSI300 ended the day down 4.3 percent. At one point, both were down more than 6 percent.

It was the biggest single-day dive for the two since February 2016, when the fallout from a botched attempt to introduce a circuit-breaker mechanism after a market meltdown was still rattling investors.

Hong Kong shares, meanwhile, slumped to their biggest weekly loss since the global financial crisis.

"It's bulls killing bulls", said hedge fund manager Gu Weiyong about the stampede out of stocks by once-bullish investors.

"If 10-year, risk-free rates keep climbing toward 5 percent, stocks with earnings multiples of 30 or more will become increasingly expensive, so they're getting dumped by institutional investors," said Gu, Shanghai-based chief investment officer at Ucom Investment Co.

Chinese government bonds held steady. The price of the most-traded China 10-year treasury futures for March delivery was basically flat.

The yuan weakened against the dollar in thin volume, and the Chinese currency was on track for its first weekly loss in nine weeks.

Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index fell 3.1 percent while the sub-index tracking mainland Chinese companies shed 3.9 percent. The Hang Seng was down 9.5 percent for the week, its biggest weekly loss since October 2008.

All sectors fell on mainland and Hong Kong bourses, led by financial and property shares.

The SSE50, which tracks the 50 most representative blue-chips in Shanghai, fell 4.6 percent. It soared 25 percent in 2017.

Analysts and market participants attributed the swoon to a cocktail of factors - margin calls, high valuations, the government's deleveraging programme and jittery investors cashing out before long Lunar New Year holidays starting next week.

"Valuations on the A-share market are not cheap, considering tight liquidity conditions amid Beijing's deleveraging efforts," said Yang Weixiao, an analyst with Founder Securities.

Margin lending, wherein investors can multiply investable funds by using their securities as collateral, had dropped to a more than one-month low. Reuters data showed roughly 50 billion yuan in leveraged bets had been unwound this month.

Frank Benzimra, head of Asia equity strategy at Societe Generale in Hong Kong, said Chinese shares were mostly dragged down by the U.S. correction but he had China-specific worries.

He cited "valuations on China-consumer related industries and execution risks on deleveraging (more specifically financial deleveraging)."

In the past, China's government has sometimes moved to prop up falling stock markets, but a hedge fund manager said that was unlikely this time.

"The bet on blue-chips was getting too concentrated, so a big correction was just a matter of time," he said.

Ucom's Gu said he saw no evidence the government was stepping in to stem the slide this week, the CSI300's worst since August 2015.

China's five state-backed mutual funds, launched during the 2015 stock market crash, cut their equity holdings in the fourth quarter.

China's central bank said on Friday it has released temporary liquidity worth almost 2 trillion yuan ($316.23 billion) to satisfy cash demand before the Lunar New Year holiday.

Some worries over the health of the world's second biggest economy also resurfaced, as China's producer and consumer inflation eased in January.

On Thursday, Reuters reported that China had approved licenses for an outbound investment scheme known as the Qualified Domestic Limited Partnership (QDLP) plan for the first time since late 2015.

The scheme would reopen a channel for Chinese money to invest abroad, potentially adding to liquidity concerns in Chinese markets.

go to top