Vietnam have 78 percent chance of World Cup qualifiers advance

By Xuan Binh   June 4, 2021 | 03:51 pm PT
Vietnam have 78 percent chance of World Cup qualifiers advance
Vietnam national football team at a training session in Dubai, May 2021. Photo by VnExpress/Lam Thoa.
According to football statistics site We Global, Vietnam’s chance of advancing in the World Cup qualifiers has increased by 4 percent after Thursday matches.

We Global ran a simulation of remaining matches in this second World Cup qualifying round and combined results of previous games. It concluded Vietnam had a 77.88 percent chance of entering the final qualifying round. The team's chance is only lower than Japan, Australia, Syria, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Iraq and Lebanon. Of these, Japan are the only team to have already secured a place in the final qualification round.

Other group G teams like UAE have a 65.72 percent, Thailand a 6.40 percent and Malaysia a 1.36 percent chance of advance. Indonesia have already lost its chance despite earning the first point against Thailand from a 2-2 draw Thursday.

Vietnam's chance stood at 74.20 percent before the matches played Thursday.

The Golden Dragons are still at the top of the group with 11 points. UAE, Thailand and Malaysia are behind with nine points each, but only Vietnam and the UAE have three matches left, while the other two only got two.

Vietnam will remain atop group G if they can get seven points in the remaining three matches, against Indonesia on June 7, Malaysia on June 11 and UAE on June 15.

Thailand and Malaysia have fallen behind, so Vietnam can still finish second if they fail to retain first place. They can enter the final qualifying round for the World Cup if they finish among the five best second-placed teams.

We Global is a football statistics site based in the U.S. that regularly makes predictions based on simulations of international matches and FIFA rankings.

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